In his monthly report on the current trends and future projections of the visa bulletin, Charles (“Charlie”) Oppenheim, Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, provided additional insight heading into the month on July.
Family Based Projections:
Oppenheim previously suggested that FB-4 China could potentially advance before October. Through July, however, the cut-off date of January 1, 2003 will remain. Oppenheim still believes the demand for FB-1, FB-2 and FB-3 will decrease, allowing FB-4 China to advance back to a cut-off date to July 2003 sometime before the end of the year.
Employment Based Projections:
Last month, Oppenheim suggested that interested parties continue to Watch EB-4 and Certain Religious Workers (SR) Preference Categories. This month, a final action date of January 1, 2010 was imposed for EB-4 Mexico. Oppenheim also expects EB-4 Mexico to return to current in October while EB-4 El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras should advance to a 2015 cut-off date in that time. Oppenheim also predicts that a cutoff date for EB-4 India will need to be imposed for August.
Following the retrogression in June for EB-2 and EB-3 China, Oppenheim expects there to be no forward movement this fiscal year. EB-2 Worldwide is likely to have a cut-off date imposed due to increased demand. Oppenheim anticipates EB-2 India’s final-action date should be one week beyond EB-3 India through the fiscal year. Based on this, there should be sufficient available unused EB-3 numbers worldwide to enable some modest forward movement in India EB-3 by the month of September.
The demand for EB-1 remains extremely high and Oppenheim stated previously that there could be some type of “corrective action” required before the end of the fiscal year. As it happens, a cut-off date for China and India EB-1 is now expected in either August or September. Both categories are still expected to become current again in October. For the rest of the world (not India and China), a cut-off date is not expected.